🌐 1. Global Cues & GIFT Nifty
- GIFT Nifty futures are trading around 24,679, down roughly 25 points — indicating a cautiously flat-to-negative start for Nifty 50.
- Investor sentiment remains muted ahead of RBI’s policy decision, with ongoing trade tension fears weighing on optimism.
📉 2. Support & Resistance Levels
| Index | Support Zone | Resistance Zone |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,600 – 24,650 | 24,800 – 24,900 |
| Bank Nifty | 55,500 – 56,000 | 56,500 – 57,000 |
A breach of 24,650 could put 24,600 at risk. On the upside, 24,800–24,900 remains a key resistance cluster.
💼 3. Institutional Flows – 5 August 2025
- FIIs were near-neutral in cash equities, with net selling of only ₹22.5 crore.
- DIIs were strong net buyers, accumulating ₹3,840 crore.
As of this morning, FIIs have now sold equities for 12 straight sessions, reflecting a cautious stance.
🔁 4. FII Futures Positioning
- FIIs continue to carry a heavy short bias (≈85%) in index futures exposure; long positions remain minimal.
- No signs of fresh long building, indicating continued caution.
Reuters
📊 5. August Week‑1 Options: OI & PCR Snapshot
- Put OI concentration: 24,600 – 24,700
- Call OI concentration: 24,800 – 24,900
- Put/Call Ratio (PCR): ~0.83 (declined from 0.94 yesterday), indicating a slight improvement in call interest.
The derivatives structure confirms today’s likely trading band around 24,600–24,900.
🗞 6. Market Highlights & Stock Triggers
- Lupin delivered strong Q1 earnings—net profit jumped 52% YoY to ₹1,221 crore—making it a stock to watch today.
- Britannia reported a profit miss and dropped over 2%, while Bharti Airtel posted strong results and gained momentum.
- Key stocks in focus: Bajaj Auto, Trent, Britannia, Airtel, Sandur Manganese—all reporting results or under analyst spotlight.
🌍 7. U.S. & RBI Events (Today)
- RBI’s policy decision is due at 10:00 AM IST — widely expected to hold rates at 5.50%, with market focusing on dovish guidance.
- Major U.S. macro data tonight include Flash PMIs, Home Sales, Initial Jobless Claims, and Fed commentary.
A dovish stance could boost global sentiment, while hawkish messaging may dampen risk appetite.
📌 8. Summary & Trading Strategy
| Theme | Implication |
|---|---|
| Opening Bias | Mildly negative to flat |
| Technical Range | 24,600–24,900 key, breakouts matter |
| FIIs | Short-heavy, minimal activity |
| DIIs | Key support provider |
| Options Sentiment | PCR improving modestly; range containment |
| Stocks to Track | Lupin, Britannia, Bharti Airtel, Bajaj Auto |
| RBI & U.S. Triggers | Policy tone & data tonight will be critical |
✅ Suggested Trades:
- Buy around 24,650–24,670 with stop just below 24,620; target 24,820–24,900
- Short near 24,900 if rally stalls—stop above 24,920
- Keep an eye on: Lupin, Airtel, Britannia for volatility & momentum trades