1) Market Snapshot (Pre-Open)
- GIFT Nifty: Trades flat-to-mildly positive near 24,986, signaling a firm open, building on last session’s momentum.
- Backdrop: Optimism from announced GST reforms and diplomatic progress supporting markets; global cues mixed as investors await Jackson Hole events.
2) FII / DII Cash Flows (Latest: 18 Aug 2025)
- FII (Cash): Gross Buy ~₹20,070 cr | Gross Sell ~₹19,519 cr → Net +₹551 cr (net buyers).
- DII (Cash): Gross Buy ~₹18,650 cr | Gross Sell ~₹14,546 cr → Net +₹4,104 cr (strong domestic buying).
3) FII Index Futures – Long vs Short
- Positioning Snapshot (18 Aug):
- Longs: 25,556 contracts (~₹4,847 cr)
- Shorts: 14,001 contracts (~₹2,656 cr)
- Open Interest: Substantial at 212,730 contracts (~₹40,012 cr) indicating high futures participation.
- Additional position data: FII futures posting around +2,490 longs & –9,065 shorts — reflecting recent directional readjustments.
4) August Monthly Option Chain — Nifty (High-Level)
- Active strikes:
- Calls (resistance): Heaviest OI at 25,000 CE (August expiry).
- Puts (support): Highest OI near 24,450 PE.
- Thermal picture: Mid-24k range remains the zone to watch; acceptance above 25k could trigger squeezes; breach of 24.5k may lead to pullback.
5) News & Key Drivers
- GST boost + geopolitics: New GST reform buzz and diplomatic developments (Ukraine/US summit) are major sentiment drivers today.
- Global setting: Mixed overseas cues; Asian markets cautious; Jackson Hole symposium and Fed commentary loom large.
6) U.S. Economic & Market Events — Tonight (India Time)
- Key focus: Fed Minutes and Powell’s Jackson Hole speech are the week’s headline events shaping global rates outlook.
- Retail earnings (Home Depot, Walmart, etc.) also closely watched for consumer sentiment.
7) Market Flow & Positioning Summary
| Time | Actionables |
|---|---|
| Open range | Flat-to-upside opening near 24,986 |
| FII/DII bias | Balanced-to-bullish — FIIs marginal net buyers; DIIs strong buyers |
| Futures | Elevated long positions by FIIs—monitor for covers |
| Options | Watch 25,000 CE resistance and 24,450 PE support levels |
8) Trade Setups Overview
- Bullish case: Holding above 24,950–25,000 into the first 15 mins can open a run toward 25,150–25,300 (short cover zone).
- Bearish/reversion case: Failure to hold above 24,900 could expose the market to test 24,700–24,450 — especially if momentum fades and resistance strengthens.
Quick Desk Summary
- Start: Firm opening expected with positive domestic cues—GST optimism, geopolitical easing.
- Structure: Balanced to slightly bullish — DIIs fueling demand; FIIs steady buyers; call barriers ahead remain.
- Caution: Watch the 25k and 24.45k option walls; global Fed signals could impact overnight tone dramatically.