π€οΈ Market Mood β Opening Tone
- Todayβs open is expected to be steady-to-positive, with global cues mildly supportive.
- The market tone will depend heavily on:
- USD/INR behavior
- Early FII flows
- Option writersβ positioning around major strikes
- Bias: π’ Mildly Positive, but volatility pockets expected mid-session.
π© GIFT Nifty (Pre-Open Snapshot)
- Current Reading: Positive bias with a small premium over Niftyβs close.
- Indication: A slightly higher open for Nifty50.
- Expected Early Range: 26,200 β 26,350
- Sentiment: π’ Stable, not exuberant.
π Nifty Technical Levels β Support & Resistance
π’ Support Levels
- 26,150 β 26,100 β First intraday defensive zone
- 25,950 β Primary floor
- 25,800 β Breakdown trigger
π΄ Resistance Levels
- 26,350 β 26,450 β Strong supply zone
- 26,600 β 26,750 β Stretch resistance
- 26,900 β Overextension, profit-taking zone
π Expected Trading Box
β‘οΈ 26,150 β 26,450
- Above 26,450 β momentum could carry to 26,600+
- Below 26,150 β sellers take control toward 25,950
π° Institutional Flows (Previous Session)
π» FII (Foreign Investors)
- Net sellers in cash market.
- Tone: cautious, selective, waiting for global clarity.
π’ DII (Domestic Institutions)
- Strong net buying continues.
- Providing much of the marketβs intraday stability.
Interpretation:
Domestic flows continue to offset foreign selling, keeping dips shallow.
βοΈ FII Index Futures Positioning
- Long Contracts: Slight increase β signalling cautious bullish hedges.
- Short Contracts: Moderate trimming β reducing net short exposure.
- Net View:
- Market is positioned for short-covering pops, especially above resistance zones.
- FIIs appear hedged-neutral rather than strongly bearish.
π§ December Options OI Map (Monthly View)
π Call OI (Resistance Zones)
- 26,400 β 26,600 CE β Heavy call writing
- 26,800 CE β Strong overhead ceiling
π Put OI (Support Zones)
- 26,000 β 26,100 PE β High put writing
- 25,800 PE β Monthly support shelf
π§© Interpretation
- Immediate Battleground: 26,000 β 26,600
- Bulls defending 26,000
- Bears protecting 26,450β26,600
- Break above 26,600 = aggressive short-covering zone
π± USD/INR β Currency Check
- Current: ~βΉ88.90 β 89.10 per USD
- Trend: Slightly weak rupee vs dollar
- Key Zones:
- β οΈ Above 89.20: Risk-off sentiment rises
- π’ Below 88.60: Relief for equities & exporters
- Impact:
- Weak INR β good for exporters (IT, Pharma)
- But pressures FII inflow sentiment
π° News & Sector Themes Today
π¦ Banks / Financials
- Supported by strong DII flows
- Likely to provide market stability
π» IT & Exporters
- Could outperform if USD/INR remains elevated
- Watching U.S. tech cues
βοΈ Metals & Energy
- Tracking global commodity movement
- China data tone remains important
π Midcaps & Smallcaps
- Expected to be more volatile
- Fund flows selective
π U.S. / Global Events to Watch Tonight
- Key focus on U.S. macro commentary & yield movement
- Global markets eyeing signs of:
- Inflation softening
- Fed tone β Dovish shift supports EMs
- Risk: Higher U.S. yields β pressure on INR + FII outflows
- Opportunity: Weak US data β bullish for Nifty & INR
π― Trading Playbook for the Day
π’ Bullish Setup
- Trigger: Nifty sustaining above 26,450
- Upside Targets: 26,600 β 26,750
- Strategy: Buy dips, trail stops, book partial profits near OI clusters
π΄ Bearish Setup
- Trigger: Break below 26,150
- Downside Targets: 25,950 β 25,800
- Strategy: Short bounces, avoid chasing deep declines
βͺ Range-Bound Setup
- Likely Zone: 26,150 β 26,350
- Strategies:
- Sell calls near 26,450
- Sell puts near 26,150
- Keep intraday size light during midday drift
π§Ύ Quick Summary Table
| Segment | Bias | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| GIFT Nifty | π’ Positive | Mild gap-up expected |
| FIIs | π» Selling | Cautious tone |
| DIIs | π’ Buying | Strong market support |
| USD/INR | π Weak | Near 89 β volatility risk |
| Nifty View | βͺ Range | 26,150β26,450 zone |
| Global Cues | βοΈ Mixed | U.S. yields critical |
